Podcast: Powell invokes Volcker, but has audacity to ease relative to expectations
Saxo Market Call
Summary: Today we look at the first dovish surprise (relative to expectations) from the Powell Fed in many months and the sharp short squeeze it inspired as we wonder if this is a mere kneejerk that will fade within days or if market sentiment could stabilize for a bit longer. Certainly, financial conditions and rising energy prices are tightening the noose on the global economy despite Powell's pussyfooting around. We also take a look at crude oil and natural gas, copper, supply chain concerns in China, BMW's outlook, Shopify and other earnings reports on the radar, FX and the Bank of England today and more. Today's pod features Peter Garnry on equities, Ole Hansen on commodities and John J. Hardy hosting and on FX.
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Outrageous Predictions 2023: The War Economy
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Gold rockets to USD 3,000 as central banks fail on inflation mandateAs markets and central banks realise that the idea that inflation is transitory is wrong, and that prices will remain higher for longer, gold is sent through the roof, hitting a price tag of USD 3,000
EU Army forces EU down path to full unionWith continued challenges in the region and a US military that isn't aggressively enacting its former role as global policeman, the European Union agrees to create its own armed forces, bringing the whole region closer.
A country agrees to ban all meat production by 2030In an effort to become one of the global leaders on the path to net-zero emissions, one country decides to not only put a heavy tax on meat, but to ban domestic production entirely.
UK holds UnBrexit referendumFollowing a recession and domestic pressure, the United Kingdom is thrown into political turmoil that will end with a vote to wind back Brexit.
Widespread price controls are introduced to cap official inflationHistory tells us that with the war economy comes rationing and price controls. And this time is no different, as policymakers introduce strict price controls that lead to a range of unintended consequences.
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