Summary: The contours of a rebound yesterday were shattered first on new US regulation hitting Huawei and other Chinese technology companies and then rapidly surging confirmed COVID-19 deaths in Florida spooking the market. This is driving a renewed uncertainty over demand destruction as indicators suggest consumers are again changing behaviour in the Sun Belt states. Oil is following oil lower confirming our $30-40/brl range for now. We also talk about copper momentum driven by supply constraints from copper mines shut down in Chile due to COVID-19. We also talk about the Q2 earnings season starting next week and which got off to a bad start with Walgreens earnings yesterday missing estimates by 30%. Today with Peter Garnry on equities and Ole S. Hansen on commodities.
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The market is trying to get back to the pre-Covid and pre-war times, but that model is broken. A new dawn is here and the financial world needs to adapt.
Steen Jakobsen,
Chief Investment Officer
A political switch in China towards less tough control of its people and companies may kick things back into gear.
Redmond Wong,
Market Strategist
While the economic situation in Europe may not be as bad as feared, there's still a plethora of things to fix.
Chris Dembik,
Head of Macroeconomic Research
As the world turns increasingly bipolar, equity markets face harsh times as they transition into the new reality.
Peter Garnry,
Head of Equity Strategy
New alliances and collaborations outside of China may lead to prosperous times in Asia.
Charu Chanana,
Market Strategist
For years, it was thought that the balanced portfolio was a thing of the past. But recent developments may have changed that.
Peter Siks,
Investment Coach
Following a dramatic and volatile 2022 with good returns, a lot of this year's commodity performance may be driven by Chinese politics.
Ole S. Hansen,
Head of Commodity Strategy
2023 could be a tough year for currencies but EUR and JPY may have some upside.
John J. Hardy,
Head of FX Strategy
The commodity-heavy Australian market may have a good start to 2023, as the Chinese focus on growth signals demand for Aussie resources.
Jessica Amir,
Market Strategist
From a near-perfect environment for speculative assets before 2022 to the opposite, crypto faces fundamental challenges.
Mads Eberhardt,
Cryptocurrency Analyst
