Erik Schafhauser Zürich

Morning Brew June 28 2022

Morning Brew 1 minute to read
Erik Schafhauser

Senior Relationship Manager

Summary:  Looking for Clues


Good Morning,

Markets are in a bit of a hybernation phase it seems where everybody is looking for direction and not sure where the next key impulse will be coming from.

All three US Indexes closed less than 1% from Friday`s close a, EURUSD remains at 1.0575, GBPUSD 1.2270 and Gold and Silver a little lower at 1825 and 21.15.

The US500 is currently at 3900 with key support at 3820 and resistance at 3975, tthe GER40 is at 13170 in limbo between 13,118  and 13,564-13,600. For a clearer direction.

The G7 vowed to stand with Ukraine "for as long as it takes", as a Russian missiles hit a shopping center.

Credit Swiss presented it`s strategy at an investor day without great surprises – technology driven cost savings remain key while risk management is strengthened the bank announced to appeal a conviction against aiding money laundering, the stock did not move significantly.

German GfK Consumer Confidence came at the lowest since 1991 but a little better than feared, Dax gained.

Tokyo is suffering the worst heat wave in June in 150 years and could suffer shortages of electricity.

The TRY lost after yesterdays intervention at 16.55 but stronger than the last few weeks.

Todays key event will be the US Consumer confidence at 16:00, the G7 Meeting will conclude and  the ECB summit will kick off in Portugal with possibly market moving comments. Half year adjustments can also be expected the next days.

Overall the central question will remain how much more hawkish central banks need to be to slow inflation as growth seems to slow and commodity prices recede.  Tomorrows German HICP will be the next solid clue.

Tomorrow, the German HICP and the US GDP will be key,  Thursday  UK GDP, Swiss KOF, German and EU Unemployment, German Price data, as well as US Consumption data Friday the Japanese will be released, followed by the Chinse and international  PMIs

Remain cautios!

Expiries

        Physically Settled Futures:

TTFMN2 will expire 28th June at 15:00 GMT

CNM2 will expire 29th June at 8:35 GMT

RRN2, SILN2, SIN2, STFN2, XCN2, XKN2, XWN2, ZCN2, ZLN2, ZMN2, ZSN2 will expire 29th June at 15:00 GMT

RBN2, SBN2 will 30th June at 15:00 GMT

BZQ2 will expire 30th June at 18:30 GMT

 

 

Expiring CFDs:

COPPERUSJUL22, CORNJUL22, GASOLINEUSJUL22. HEATINGOILJUL22, SILVERJUL22, SOYBEANOILJUL22, SOYBEANMEALJUL22, SOYBEANSJUL22, SUGARNYJUL22, WHEATJUL22 will expire on 28th of June at 15:00 GMT
CHINA50JUN22, HK50JUN22,SINGAPOREJUN22, TAIWAN95JUN22 will expire 29th June at 2:00 GMT

INDIA50JUN22 will expire 30th June at 2:00 GMT

OILUKAUG22 will expire 30th June at 15:00 GMT

 

 

 

Quarterly Outlook

01 /

  • Upending the global order at blinding speed

    Quarterly Outlook

    Upending the global order at blinding speed

    John J. Hardy

    Global Head of Macro Strategy

    We are witnessing a once-in-a-lifetime shredding of the global order. As the new order takes shape, ...
  • Equity outlook: The high cost of global fragmentation for US portfolios

    Quarterly Outlook

    Equity outlook: The high cost of global fragmentation for US portfolios

    Charu Chanana

    Chief Investment Strategist

  • Asset allocation outlook: From Magnificent 7 to Magnificent 2,645—diversification matters, now more than ever

    Quarterly Outlook

    Asset allocation outlook: From Magnificent 7 to Magnificent 2,645—diversification matters, now more than ever

    Jacob Falkencrone

    Global Head of Investment Strategy

  • Commodity Outlook: Commodities rally despite global uncertainty

    Quarterly Outlook

    Commodity Outlook: Commodities rally despite global uncertainty

    Ole Hansen

    Head of Commodity Strategy

  • Macro outlook: Trump 2.0: Can the US have its cake and eat it, too?

    Quarterly Outlook

    Macro outlook: Trump 2.0: Can the US have its cake and eat it, too?

    John J. Hardy

    Global Head of Macro Strategy

  • Equity Outlook: The ride just got rougher

    Quarterly Outlook

    Equity Outlook: The ride just got rougher

    Charu Chanana

    Chief Investment Strategist

  • China Outlook: The choice between retaliation or de-escalation

    Quarterly Outlook

    China Outlook: The choice between retaliation or de-escalation

    Charu Chanana

    Chief Investment Strategist

  • Commodity Outlook: A bumpy road ahead calls for diversification

    Quarterly Outlook

    Commodity Outlook: A bumpy road ahead calls for diversification

    Ole Hansen

    Head of Commodity Strategy

  • FX outlook: Tariffs drive USD strength, until...?

    Quarterly Outlook

    FX outlook: Tariffs drive USD strength, until...?

    John J. Hardy

    Global Head of Macro Strategy

  • Fixed Income Outlook: Bonds Hit Reset. A New Equilibrium Emerges

    Quarterly Outlook

    Fixed Income Outlook: Bonds Hit Reset. A New Equilibrium Emerges

    Althea Spinozzi

    Head of Fixed Income Strategy

The information on or via the website is provided to you by Saxo Bank (Switzerland) Ltd. (“Saxo Bank”) for educational and information purposes only. The information should not be construed as an offer or recommendation to enter into any transaction or any particular service, nor should the contents be construed as advice of any other kind, for example of a tax or legal nature.

All trading carries risk. Loses can exceed deposits on margin products. You should consider whether you understand how our products work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.

Saxo Bank does not guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or usefulness of any information provided and shall not be responsible for any errors or omissions or for any losses or damages resulting from the use of such information.

The content of this website represents marketing material and is not the result of financial analysis or research. It has therefore has not been prepared in accordance with directives designed to promote the independence of financial/investment research and is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of financial/investment research.

Saxo Bank (Schweiz) AG
The Circle 38
CH-8058
Zürich-Flughafen
Switzerland

Contact Saxo

Select region

Switzerland
Switzerland

All trading carries risk. Losses can exceed deposits on margin products. You should consider whether you understand how our products work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. To help you understand the risks involved we have put together a general Risk Warning series of Key Information Documents (KIDs) highlighting the risks and rewards related to each product. The KIDs can be accessed within the trading platform. Please note that the full prospectus can be obtained free of charge from Saxo Bank (Switzerland) Ltd. or the issuer.

This website can be accessed worldwide however the information on the website is related to Saxo Bank (Switzerland) Ltd. All clients will directly engage with Saxo Bank (Switzerland) Ltd. and all client agreements will be entered into with Saxo Bank (Switzerland) Ltd. and thus governed by Swiss Law. 

The content of this website represents marketing material and has not been notified or submitted to any supervisory authority.

If you contact Saxo Bank (Switzerland) Ltd. or visit this website, you acknowledge and agree that any data that you transmit to Saxo Bank (Switzerland) Ltd., either through this website, by telephone or by any other means of communication (e.g. e-mail), may be collected or recorded and transferred to other Saxo Bank Group companies or third parties in Switzerland or abroad and may be stored or otherwise processed by them or Saxo Bank (Switzerland) Ltd. You release Saxo Bank (Switzerland) Ltd. from its obligations under Swiss banking and securities dealer secrecies and, to the extent permitted by law, data protection laws as well as other laws and obligations to protect privacy. Saxo Bank (Switzerland) Ltd. has implemented appropriate technical and organizational measures to protect data from unauthorized processing and disclosure and applies appropriate safeguards to guarantee adequate protection of such data.

Apple, iPad and iPhone are trademarks of Apple Inc., registered in the U.S. and other countries. App Store is a service mark of Apple Inc.