Equities ended the week even higher with the Dow up 0.08%, the S&P 0.25%, the Nasdaq 0.95%. Looking at some Year to Date figures ahead of this crucial week for markets, the Nasdaq 100 is up 11%, the Ger40 9.5%, the S&P and the Switzerland 20 have risen app 6%. Tesla gained 44% and Nvidia 39%, Amazon 22% and Apple 13%. These numbers are Year to Date not 365 days.
FX was less risk on and the USD was relatively strong . The USD Index closed at near 102 and EURUSD 1.0867 and GBPUSD near 1.24.
We are entering a key week with :
- many instruments at key level and this week could bring massive breakouts.
- 3 G7 central banks announce rates and could either cause a revival of the USD or confirm that the BoE and the ECB are more hawkish than the Fed as expected. EURUSD needs to take out 1.0920 and GBPUSD 1.2450
- China is back from the NewYear Celebration and reopened after Covid – we can expect a surge of consumption.
- Earnings from the big tec on Wednesday and Thursday
- Geopolitical Risks from the attack on Iran as well as the alliance against China to restrict chip exports.
From the meeting with Steen last week, pls find his outlook here: Steen`s Outlook for Markets
Economic Data & Earnings
Sweden and Germany GDP
EU Consumer Confidence,
Earnings: SoFi, Philips, Franklin Templeton, GE Healthcare, Ryanair, Whirlpool, NXP,
Japan Unemployment Rate, Australia Retail sales and China Manufacturing PMI
France, Italy as well as EU GDP, German CPI, US consumer confidence.
Earnings: Exxon, UPS, GM, Pfizer, Caterpillar, McDonalds, Spotify, AMD, Snap, Amgen, EA,
International PMI thorough the day, EU HICP
FOMC Rate decision
Earnings: Altria, T-Mobile, Peleton, ThermoFischer, Meta,
Band Of England, ECB Rate decision
Earnings: Merck, Lilly, Honeywell, Sony, Amazon, Apple, Alphabet, Ford, Qualcomm, Starbucks, Gilead,
International PMI, Nonfarm Payroll
Earnings: Cigna, CBoe, Sanofi
Physically Settled Futures
GCG3 will expire 30 Jan 2023
MGCG3 will expire 30 Jan 2023
GASOLINEUSFEB23 will expire 27 Jan 2023
GOLDFEB23 will expire 27 Jan 2023
HEATINGOILFEB23 will expire 27 Jan 2023
CHINA50JAN23 will expire 30 Jan 2023
HK50JAN23 will expire 30 Jan 2023
TAIWAN95JAN23 will expire 30 Jan 2023