Technical Update - Bigger picture: AUDUSD, EURAUD, EURGBP, EURUSD , GBPAUD, GBPUSD & USDCHF
Kim Cramer Larsson
Technical Analyst, Saxo Bank
7 FX pairs with interest pattern development. Medium to longer term view. All weekly charts.
AUDUSD: Falling Wedge breakout testing 0.618 Fibo level . If breaking above price could extend to 0.800
EURAUD: (Descending) Triangle like pattern which seems to be the right complex Shoulder area in what looks like a Complex Shoulder-Head-Shoulder pattern. Break out has reached 0.50 Fibo Extension. Not unlikely to test 0.618 Extension and strong support at around 1.44.
EURGBP: Trading in a falling channel. 0.8200-0.8250 seems to be strong support area. . Bullish break out of falling trend could push EURGBP to 200 weekly SMA and top of start of channel around 0.87
GBPUSD: Double Top pattern unfolded and target reached. However, bear trend not unlikely to continue towards 1.2750-1.2675 - after a likely correction where GBPUSD could test upper falling trend line in the channel. 200 Weekly SMA offers some support
USDCHF: Forming an Ascending Triangle like pattern. Wait for break out direction. Strong resistance at 0.9550. Bullish break out likely target is 1.00. Resistance at 0.99. Bear break out, likely price target lows of the triangle i.e. around 0.8740.
Quarterly Outlook Q2 2022
Quarterly Outlook Q2 2022: The End Game has arrived
- Shocks from covid and the war in Ukraine have forced the global financial and political world to change, but what will the end game be?
Productivity and innovation have never been more importantAs the world economy hits physical limits and central banks tighten their belts, could equities be facing a 10-15% downside?
The great EUR recovery and the difficulty of trading itIf the terrible fog of war hopefully lifts soon, the conditions are promising for the euro to reprice significantly higher.
Tight commodity markets – turbocharged by war and sanctionsWith supply already tight, commodities keep powering on. But will it last for yet another quarter?
Between a rock and a hard placeGeopolitical concerns will add upward price pressures and fears of slower growth, while volatility will remain elevated.
The Great ErosionInflation is everywhere and central banks try to combat it. But will they get it under control in time?
Australian investing: Six considerations amid triple Rs: rising rates, record inflation and likely recessionWhile global financial markets are struggling in an uncertain world, the commodity-heavy Australian ASX index is poised to keep a positive momentum.
Cybersecurity – the rush to catch up with realityWith the invasion of Ukraine, governments and private companies are rushing to reinforce their cyber defenses.