Technical Update - Danish consumer shipping on the move pushing the sector higher. Energy shipping struggling Technical Update - Danish consumer shipping on the move pushing the sector higher. Energy shipping struggling Technical Update - Danish consumer shipping on the move pushing the sector higher. Energy shipping struggling

Technical Update - Danish consumer shipping on the move pushing the sector higher. Energy shipping struggling

Equities 4 minutes to read
KCL
Kim Cramer Larsson

Technical Analyst, Saxo Bank

Summary:  Danish shipping companies primarily transporting goods for consumers and industry have broken resistance levels or on the verge.
Shipping transporting energy and commodities are struggling
In this analysis : DSV, Nordic Transport Group, DFDS, D/S Norden, A.P. Moller Maersk and Torm.


DSV has broken above minor resistance at 1,169 confirming its uptrend. RSI showing positive sentiment and no divergence indicating higher levels are likely
Weekly chart shows uptrend with strong resistance at around 1,245. A close above that level there is room up to resistance area 1,360-1,376.
Weekly RSI is at the time of writing above 60 threshold. If it closes the week above it is back in positive sentiment on medium-term supporting the view of higher share price. 
For DSV to reverse the medium-term uptrend a close below 1,046 is needed. 

Source and data all charts: Saxo Group

NTG Nordic Transport Group has short-term broken above its resistance at around 264 and is now back above 200 daily SMA. RSI is showing positive sentiment with no divergence despite being slightly overbought. A minor correction could be seen where NTG could test the 200 SMA from the upper side. However, the trend is up

NTG has broken bullish out of the wide falling channel it has been trading in since its 2021 peak – see weekly chart.
Weekly RSI is testing 60 threshold and if closing above medium-term sentiment is back in positive with no strong resistance until around 392.
If NTG slides back to close below the upper falling trend line in the channel and below its 200 weekly SMA bear trend is resuming.

DFDS is forming an Ascending like triangle pattern.  Bouncing from lower rising trend line and 55 SMA. A close above 273 will confirm uptrend with potential up to 300.
If DFDS closes below 250 a bear trend is under development that could take DFDS down to 230 support

Medium-term DFDS has formed a bullish trend currently testing its falling trendline and the 200 weekly SMA. A close above both the stock has confirmed the uptrend and weekly RSI is likely to be back above 60 i.e., supporting the uptrend. Resistance at around 300
If DFDS slides back to close below 250 the uptrend is in jeopardy. A close below 230 will confirm that.

A.P. Moeller Maersk is lagging the other shipping/logistics companies. Still range bound between 16,200 and 14,320 and needs to break out for direction.
Maersk is trading back above 55 and 100 SMA indicating the share price is likely to break out to the upside. RSI is still showing negative sentiment however, and needs to close above 60 to reverse that.
If breaking out bullish i.e., closing above 16,200 the 200 SMA will provide some resistance but there will be room, up to around 19,000.
A close below 14,320 Maersk is back in bear mode which can take the share price back to around 13,185-12,720.

D/S Norden is still in a medium-term bullish trend testing lower rising trendline. However, with divergence on weekly RSI the uptrend is weakening. A close below 325 is likely to reverse the uptrend.
If Norden trades higher and push RSI back above its falling trendline the divergence could be cancelled.

Short-term (Daily chart) D/S Norden is in a downtrend forming what could turn in to a falling wedge.
However, if Norden closes above the upper falling trendline and RSI above 60 Norden could rally to resistance at around 405-411.
However, daily RSI is still showing bearish sentiment and is dropping back below 40 new lows and a test of the lower falling trendline on the price chart could be seen.
Support at 328 and strong support at around 305

Torm. The rally we have seen in energy prices has benefited Torm as a shipping company transporting oil products. Share price went up five fold in 2022 but now seems to be collapsing.
First sell-off has bounced from 0.382 retracement and support at around 160. A close below last week’s low at 158.70 is likely to fuel another sell-off down to support at 140.

On daily chart Torm is forming a falling wedge like pattern (needs to touch both falling trendlines a total of five times to be considered a wedge) not yet confirmed though.
There is strong overhead resistance with the upper falling trendline and the 55 and 200 Simple Moving Averages declining. RSI showing negative sentiment confirms the bearish outlook.
If RSI drops back below 40 the selling pressure is likely to increase.
For Torm to reverse the bearish trend a close above 195 is needed.

 

RSI divergence explained: When instrument price is making a new high/low but RSI values are not making new high/low at the same time. That is a sign of imbalance in the market and an weakening of the uptrend/downtrend. Divergence or imbalance in the market can go on for quite some time but not forever. It is an indication of an exhaustion of the trend



Author has a long position in DFDS and NTG

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