Technical Update - Cybersecurity stocks under pressure. Can they make a come back ?

Equities 5 minutes to read
KCL
Kim Cramer Larsson

Technical Analyst, Saxo Bank

Cybersecurity stocks have enjoyed strong uptrend since early 2023, with few exeptions and laggers
Corrections have hit in February/March putting the medium-term bullish picture under pressure. 

In this analysis: 

Cybersecurity ETF CIBR The technical picture for the biggest cybersecurity ETF's CIBR is explained in details in this analysis. 
In addition to that, six of the biggest cybersecurity stocks are covered in the analysis with
key support and resistance only. Reason being that the technical picture for each stock is almost similar to the CIBR ETF

Please also check out our Cybersecurity theme on SaxoTrader:

  • Check Point Software
  • Cloudflare
  • CrowdStrike
  • Fortinet
  • Palantir Tech
  • Palo Alto Networks

Cyber Security ETF First Trust Nasdaq Cybersecurity CIBR
CIBR is in a short-term corrective downtrend but has recently formed a bottom and reversal pattern (circled) around minor support at 52.45, suggesting the correction may be over.

However, for now the downtrend is intact, and a daily close below 52.45 will most likely fuel another sell-off down to around 50. The strength indicator, RSI, is currently showing negative sentiment with no divergence, suggesting CIBR could drop lower.

On the weekly chart, CIBR is in a medium-term correction phase. The weekly RSI remains in positive sentiment with no divergence, indicating that CIBR is likely to resume its uptrend and move to previous highs and higher after the correction is over.

However, key support at 51.26 must hold. A close below this level will demolish the corrective scenario and turn it into a medium-term downtrend, with downside potential to around 47. The first indication of this bearish scenario possibly playing out would be a daily close below 52.45.

A daily close above 56.57 is required for CIBR to resume its uptrend with upside potential to 62.

Source all charts and data: Saxo Group

Check Point Software  Likely to drop to support at 151-147. RSI indicating lower levels. Needs to close above 161.95 to resume uptrend. 

Cloudflare After bullish gap early February Cloudflare ahs been sliding back below lower gap boundary at 90.31 and in to negative sentiment and trend.
90.31 is now a resistance level but Cloudflare needs to close back above 97.37 to confirm uptrend. A daily close above 90.31 could get buyers trying to push the stock up there

Medium-term Cloudflare has lagged other Cybersecurity stocks. Weekly RSI is bullish however, and if Cloudflare can get back above 97.37 a push higher towards 132 is in the cards.

CrowdStrike strong support at 282. A daily close below likely sell-off to 261.80 possibly down to 238.50

Fortinet A daily close below key support at 62.63 likely leading to a sell off down to 60-57 support area.
A daily close above 68.86 uptrend will be confirmed

Palantir Tech key strong support at 20.30. Minor resistance at 22.30, a daily close above is likely to establish an uptrend that is confirmed by a daily close above 24.10

Palo Alto Networks key strong support at around 261.74, a daily close below is likely leading to a sell-off down to around 234.
A daily close above could be an indication of Palo Alto is building an uptrend.
An RSI close above 60 will confirm that scenario which could lift the stock to test the gap area 317.40

Disclaimer: Author owns shares in Cloudflare

Quarterly Outlook

01 /

  • Macro Outlook: The US rate cut cycle has begun

    Quarterly Outlook

    Macro Outlook: The US rate cut cycle has begun

    Peter Garnry

    Chief Investment Strategist

    The Fed started the US rate cut cycle in Q3 and in this macro outlook we will explore how the rate c...
  • Fixed Income Outlook: Bonds Hit Reset. A New Equilibrium Emerges

    Quarterly Outlook

    Fixed Income Outlook: Bonds Hit Reset. A New Equilibrium Emerges

    Althea Spinozzi

    Head of Fixed Income Strategy

  • Equity Outlook: Will lower rates lift all boats in equities?

    Quarterly Outlook

    Equity Outlook: Will lower rates lift all boats in equities?

    Peter Garnry

    Chief Investment Strategist

    After a period of historically high equity index concentration driven by the 'Magnificent Seven' sto...
  • FX Outlook: USD in limbo amid political and policy jitters

    Quarterly Outlook

    FX Outlook: USD in limbo amid political and policy jitters

    Charu Chanana

    Chief Investment Strategist

    As we enter the final quarter of 2024, currency markets are set for heightened turbulence due to US ...
  • Commodity Outlook: Gold and silver continue to shine bright

    Quarterly Outlook

    Commodity Outlook: Gold and silver continue to shine bright

    Ole Hansen

    Head of Commodity Strategy

  • FX: Risk-on currencies to surge against havens

    Quarterly Outlook

    FX: Risk-on currencies to surge against havens

    Charu Chanana

    Chief Investment Strategist

    Explore the outlook for USD, AUD, NZD, and EM carry trades as risk-on currencies are set to outperfo...
  • Equities: Are we blowing bubbles again

    Quarterly Outlook

    Equities: Are we blowing bubbles again

    Peter Garnry

    Chief Investment Strategist

    Explore key trends and opportunities in European equities and electrification theme as market dynami...
  • Macro: Sandcastle economics

    Quarterly Outlook

    Macro: Sandcastle economics

    Peter Garnry

    Chief Investment Strategist

    Explore the "two-lane economy," European equities, energy commodities, and the impact of US fiscal p...
  • Bonds: What to do until inflation stabilises

    Quarterly Outlook

    Bonds: What to do until inflation stabilises

    Althea Spinozzi

    Head of Fixed Income Strategy

    Discover strategies for managing bonds as US and European yields remain rangebound due to uncertain ...
  • Commodities: Energy and grains in focus as metals pause

    Quarterly Outlook

    Commodities: Energy and grains in focus as metals pause

    Ole Hansen

    Head of Commodity Strategy

    Energy and grains to shine as metals pause. Discover key trends and market drivers for commodities i...

Disclaimer

The Saxo Bank Group entities each provide execution-only service and access to Analysis permitting a person to view and/or use content available on or via the website. This content is not intended to and does not change or expand on the execution-only service. Such access and use are at all times subject to (i) The Terms of Use; (ii) Full Disclaimer; (iii) The Risk Warning; (iv) the Rules of Engagement and (v) Notices applying to Saxo News & Research and/or its content in addition (where relevant) to the terms governing the use of hyperlinks on the website of a member of the Saxo Bank Group by which access to Saxo News & Research is gained. Such content is therefore provided as no more than information. In particular no advice is intended to be provided or to be relied on as provided nor endorsed by any Saxo Bank Group entity; nor is it to be construed as solicitation or an incentive provided to subscribe for or sell or purchase any financial instrument. All trading or investments you make must be pursuant to your own unprompted and informed self-directed decision. As such no Saxo Bank Group entity will have or be liable for any losses that you may sustain as a result of any investment decision made in reliance on information which is available on Saxo News & Research or as a result of the use of the Saxo News & Research. Orders given and trades effected are deemed intended to be given or effected for the account of the customer with the Saxo Bank Group entity operating in the jurisdiction in which the customer resides and/or with whom the customer opened and maintains his/her trading account. Saxo News & Research does not contain (and should not be construed as containing) financial, investment, tax or trading advice or advice of any sort offered, recommended or endorsed by Saxo Bank Group and should not be construed as a record of our trading prices, or as an offer, incentive or solicitation for the subscription, sale or purchase in any financial instrument. To the extent that any content is construed as investment research, you must note and accept that the content was not intended to and has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such, would be considered as a marketing communication under relevant laws.

Please read our disclaimers:
Notification on Non-Independent Investment Research (https://www.home.saxo/legal/niird/notification)
Full disclaimer (https://www.home.saxo/legal/disclaimer/saxo-disclaimer)
Full disclaimer (https://www.home.saxo/legal/saxoselect-disclaimer/disclaimer)

Saxo Bank (Schweiz) AG
The Circle 38
CH-8058
Zürich-Flughafen
Switzerland

Contact Saxo

Select region

Switzerland
Switzerland

All trading carries risk. Losses can exceed deposits on margin products. You should consider whether you understand how our products work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. To help you understand the risks involved we have put together a general Risk Warning series of Key Information Documents (KIDs) highlighting the risks and rewards related to each product. The KIDs can be accessed within the trading platform. Please note that the full prospectus can be obtained free of charge from Saxo Bank (Switzerland) Ltd. or the issuer.

This website can be accessed worldwide however the information on the website is related to Saxo Bank (Switzerland) Ltd. All clients will directly engage with Saxo Bank (Switzerland) Ltd. and all client agreements will be entered into with Saxo Bank (Switzerland) Ltd. and thus governed by Swiss Law. 

The content of this website represents marketing material and has not been notified or submitted to any supervisory authority.

If you contact Saxo Bank (Switzerland) Ltd. or visit this website, you acknowledge and agree that any data that you transmit to Saxo Bank (Switzerland) Ltd., either through this website, by telephone or by any other means of communication (e.g. e-mail), may be collected or recorded and transferred to other Saxo Bank Group companies or third parties in Switzerland or abroad and may be stored or otherwise processed by them or Saxo Bank (Switzerland) Ltd. You release Saxo Bank (Switzerland) Ltd. from its obligations under Swiss banking and securities dealer secrecies and, to the extent permitted by law, data protection laws as well as other laws and obligations to protect privacy. Saxo Bank (Switzerland) Ltd. has implemented appropriate technical and organizational measures to protect data from unauthorized processing and disclosure and applies appropriate safeguards to guarantee adequate protection of such data.

Apple, iPad and iPhone are trademarks of Apple Inc., registered in the U.S. and other countries. App Store is a service mark of Apple Inc.