FX Options Update: February 20, 2019
Saxo Bank's latest report on the FX Options space is now live, with a look at EURUSD vols and how gold has broken out of its range and is still trending higher.
Head of FX Strategy
The Bank of England has come out with a more hawkish hike than expected. As forecasted, the BoE hiked the policy rate by 25 basis points. It also offered slightly more hawkish language in the guidance than was perhaps expected.
As well, the Monetary Policy Committee voted 9-0 versus perhaps 7-2 or even 8-1 expected, also somewhat hawkish at the margin. Sterling is a bit firmer in response, with EURGBP off a bit toward the lows of the day (the big zone there is 0.8800-25). The interest rate reaction suggests that this was no shocker, however, and we'll have to have a look at the Carney press conference up shortly for further spin.
On the margin, this is sterling bullish so far...
Potentially holding back sterling traders from committing risk at the moment is the prospect of Prime Minister May's meeting with French president Macron tomorrow, as signaling from Macron will be closely scrutinised in the wake of that meeting for signs that his stance on Brexit is thawing, something that has been detected from German chancellor Merkel recently.