Strong USD makes a loud break higher still.
Saxo Market Call
Summary: Today we have a look at bond yields cooling and risk appetite stabilizing and even improving, but with a new injection of energy from the currency market, where a big US dollar breakout is on the loose as key resistance levels gave way and EURUSD pounded down to its lowest levels in well over a year. A strong dollar is a potential new cause for concern if it persists. Elsewhere, we look at real yields rising in sympathy with the latest moves in Treasuries, cratering silver prices as gold hold comparatively firm, possible early signs of a corporate credit wobble, fresh spike in European NatGas prices and now cotton prices spiking and more. Today's pod features Ole Hansen on commodities, Althea Spinozzi on fixed income and John J. Hardy hosting and on FX.
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Quarterly Outlook Q2 2022
Quarterly Outlook Q2 2022: The End Game has arrived
- Shocks from covid and the war in Ukraine have forced the global financial and political world to change, but what will the end game be?
Productivity and innovation have never been more importantAs the world economy hits physical limits and central banks tighten their belts, could equities be facing a 10-15% downside?
The great EUR recovery and the difficulty of trading itIf the terrible fog of war hopefully lifts soon, the conditions are promising for the euro to reprice significantly higher.
Tight commodity markets – turbocharged by war and sanctionsWith supply already tight, commodities keep powering on. But will it last for yet another quarter?
Between a rock and a hard placeGeopolitical concerns will add upward price pressures and fears of slower growth, while volatility will remain elevated.
The Great ErosionInflation is everywhere and central banks try to combat it. But will they get it under control in time?
Australian investing: Six considerations amid triple Rs: rising rates, record inflation and likely recessionWhile global financial markets are struggling in an uncertain world, the commodity-heavy Australian ASX index is poised to keep a positive momentum.
Cybersecurity – the rush to catch up with realityWith the invasion of Ukraine, governments and private companies are rushing to reinforce their cyber defenses.