Podcast: Sanctions slam the door on Russia
Saxo Market Call
Summary: After the sanctions on Friday underwhelmed, Western powers drew up a comprehensive list of sanctions at the weekend that look set to largely shut Russian access to the global financial system, though important details are not yet clear. Outside of an enormous drop in the Russian ruble, one that mobilized an enormous 1,150 bp rate hike to 20% by the Russian central bank, fallout across markets is quite muted. Today, we sort through the various market reactions and look at the implications of a historic speech by German Chancellor Scholz at the weekend, one that signals an entirely new stance on defense from Germany. Today's pod features Peter Garnry on equities, Ole Hansen on commodities and John J. Hardy hosting and on FX.
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Quarterly Outlook Q2 2022
Quarterly Outlook Q2 2022: The End Game has arrived
- Shocks from covid and the war in Ukraine have forced the global financial and political world to change, but what will the end game be?
Productivity and innovation have never been more importantAs the world economy hits physical limits and central banks tighten their belts, could equities be facing a 10-15% downside?
The great EUR recovery and the difficulty of trading itIf the terrible fog of war hopefully lifts soon, the conditions are promising for the euro to reprice significantly higher.
Tight commodity markets – turbocharged by war and sanctionsWith supply already tight, commodities keep powering on. But will it last for yet another quarter?
Between a rock and a hard placeGeopolitical concerns will add upward price pressures and fears of slower growth, while volatility will remain elevated.
The Great ErosionInflation is everywhere and central banks try to combat it. But will they get it under control in time?
Australian investing: Six considerations amid triple Rs: rising rates, record inflation and likely recessionWhile global financial markets are struggling in an uncertain world, the commodity-heavy Australian ASX index is poised to keep a positive momentum.
Cybersecurity – the rush to catch up with realityWith the invasion of Ukraine, governments and private companies are rushing to reinforce their cyber defenses.