Podcast - When geopolitical fear levels fade, CB expectations quickly spring back
Saxo Market Call
Summary: Today we look at the market trying to find its feet as the Western sanctions against Russia's latest moves in the disputed eastern Ukrainian regions were seen as relatively measured. At the same time, central bank tightening expectations are picking up quickly again and the US yield curve has re-flattened sharply. Elsewhere, we look at the risks of sustained market volatility, high EU energy and power prices as far as the eye can see, gold, agricultural commodities, equity earnings in focus and much more. Today's pod features Peter Garnry on equities, Ole Hansen on commodities and John J. Hardy hosting and on FX.
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Outrageous Predictions 2023: The War Economy
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Gold rockets to USD 3,000 as central banks fail on inflation mandateAs markets and central banks realise that the idea that inflation is transitory is wrong, and that prices will remain higher for longer, gold is sent through the roof, hitting a price tag of USD 3,000
EU Army forces EU down path to full unionWith continued challenges in the region and a US military that isn't aggressively enacting its former role as global policeman, the European Union agrees to create its own armed forces, bringing the whole region closer.
A country agrees to ban all meat production by 2030In an effort to become one of the global leaders on the path to net-zero emissions, one country decides to not only put a heavy tax on meat, but to ban domestic production entirely.
UK holds UnBrexit referendumFollowing a recession and domestic pressure, the United Kingdom is thrown into political turmoil that will end with a vote to wind back Brexit.
Widespread price controls are introduced to cap official inflationHistory tells us that with the war economy comes rationing and price controls. And this time is no different, as policymakers introduce strict price controls that lead to a range of unintended consequences.
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