US Election podcast: Trump-quake relative to expectations even as final outcome unknown
Saxo Market Call
Summary: Today we offer our brain-dump on what has unfolded on Election Day in the US, with the final results still unknown and vote counts apparently stalled. But the headline takeaway so far is that turnout was not the Democrats secret weapon and even more so, that mainstream polling and news outlets got the situation so massively wrong that their credibility is now fatally eroded. A contested election scenario is a prominent risk, with the losing side once the vote is counted refusing to concede if the vote margins are razor thin. Today with Peter Garnry on equities, Ole Hansen on equities and John J. Hardy hosting and on FX.
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Quarterly Outlook Q2 2022
Quarterly Outlook Q2 2022: The End Game has arrived
- Shocks from covid and the war in Ukraine have forced the global financial and political world to change, but what will the end game be?
Productivity and innovation have never been more importantAs the world economy hits physical limits and central banks tighten their belts, could equities be facing a 10-15% downside?
The great EUR recovery and the difficulty of trading itIf the terrible fog of war hopefully lifts soon, the conditions are promising for the euro to reprice significantly higher.
Tight commodity markets – turbocharged by war and sanctionsWith supply already tight, commodities keep powering on. But will it last for yet another quarter?
Between a rock and a hard placeGeopolitical concerns will add upward price pressures and fears of slower growth, while volatility will remain elevated.
The Great ErosionInflation is everywhere and central banks try to combat it. But will they get it under control in time?
Australian investing: Six considerations amid triple Rs: rising rates, record inflation and likely recessionWhile global financial markets are struggling in an uncertain world, the commodity-heavy Australian ASX index is poised to keep a positive momentum.
Cybersecurity – the rush to catch up with realityWith the invasion of Ukraine, governments and private companies are rushing to reinforce their cyber defenses.