Morning Call: Nasdaq 100 corrects
Senior Editor, Saxo Bank
Summary: In today's edition of the Saxo Morning Call, we look at how the US' leading tech equity index has been knocked back by a mix of Iran worries, the US charges against some Chinese banks and the fact we're hitting the end of the quarter. Gold, too, has fallen off its perch over St Louis Fed president James Bullard's remark that a 50bps rate cut "would be excessive".
Market Quick Take - August 11, 2020
Equity futures advanced in Asia overnight, extending a rally that has taken the S&P 500 within striking distance of its all-time high set in February. Technology stocks meanwhile are playing catch up after ending lower on Monday in response to simmering U.S. China tensions that may impact the sector. The dollar trades a tad softer while the risk-on sentiment and higher real yields have pushed gold back below the psychological important $2000 level.
Macro Dragon: Biden's VP Pick is likely to be POTUS
Macro Dragon = Cross-Asset Daily Views that could cover anything from tactical positioning, to long-term thematic investments, key events & inflection points in the markets, all with the objective of consistent wealth creation overtime.
How do changes in US real yields impact asset classes?
Falling US real yields have historically been coincident with rising gold, ringing EURUSD and falling USDJPY. These relationships are not that confusing but over time equities do have a positive relationship with real yields and as such equities should not behave as it does right now under rapidly falling real yields as they reflect falling expectations for growth. When we analyse the entire spectrum over change in US real yields we observe that equities rise rapidly under both significantly falling and rising real yields.
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