Technical Update- AUDJPY, AUDUSD, AUDEUR, EURUSD, GBPUSD, USDJPY & USDCHF
Kim Cramer Larsson
Technical Analyst, Saxo Bank
AUDUSD: The cluster of SMA’s were too strong to penetrate – see previous FX Technical Update. AUDUSD has resumed bearish trend and seems to find some support at around 0.6930. However, down trend seems strong and May lows at around 0.6830 is likely to be tested, after a likely minor rebound next couple of days. To reverse this scenario a move above 0.7285 is needed.
AUDEUR bullish break out of falling trend has been reversed and the pair is now trading below rising trend line. Support at around 0.6550 could be tested.
EURUSD: Got rejected at falling short term trend line a few pips below 1.08. When dropping below key support at 1.0625 bear trend resumed. RSI below 40. A minor rebound to around 1.05 should be expected.
May lows are likely to be tested and taken out.
EURUSD Bigger view: If taking out 1.0350 EURUSD which is quite likely the pair is set for a move towards 1.00.
GBPUSD has broken below May lows. Some minor rebound should be expected next couple of days. Key support is at around 1.21-1.2075. (weekly chart)
USDJPY looks short term toppish currently being rejected at the 1.764 projection of the May correction at 135. Divergence on RSI indicates price exhaustion and a set back down to around 130 is not unlikely. To extend the uptrend 135.20 needs to be taken out.
USDCHF rejected at 1.00 trying to regain strength for a possible new attempt. However, a set back from here in a corrective move down to around 0.98 is not unlikely before buyers are likely to regain control. If 1.00 is broken a move to around 1.0265 is in the cards.
Quarterly Outlook Q2 2022
Quarterly Outlook Q2 2022: The End Game has arrived
- Shocks from covid and the war in Ukraine have forced the global financial and political world to change, but what will the end game be?
Productivity and innovation have never been more importantAs the world economy hits physical limits and central banks tighten their belts, could equities be facing a 10-15% downside?
The great EUR recovery and the difficulty of trading itIf the terrible fog of war hopefully lifts soon, the conditions are promising for the euro to reprice significantly higher.
Tight commodity markets – turbocharged by war and sanctionsWith supply already tight, commodities keep powering on. But will it last for yet another quarter?
Between a rock and a hard placeGeopolitical concerns will add upward price pressures and fears of slower growth, while volatility will remain elevated.
The Great ErosionInflation is everywhere and central banks try to combat it. But will they get it under control in time?
Australian investing: Six considerations amid triple Rs: rising rates, record inflation and likely recessionWhile global financial markets are struggling in an uncertain world, the commodity-heavy Australian ASX index is poised to keep a positive momentum.
Cybersecurity – the rush to catch up with realityWith the invasion of Ukraine, governments and private companies are rushing to reinforce their cyber defenses.