Technical Update - Correction likely to be unfolding in DAX/GER40 and EuroStoxx50/EU50 Technical Update - Correction likely to be unfolding in DAX/GER40 and EuroStoxx50/EU50 Technical Update - Correction likely to be unfolding in DAX/GER40 and EuroStoxx50/EU50

Technical Update - Correction likely to be unfolding in DAX/GER40 and EuroStoxx50/EU50

Equities 2 minutes to read
KCL
Kim Cramer Larsson

Technical Analyst, Saxo Bank

Summary:  DAX/GER40 and EuroStoxx50/EU are indicating top and reversal scenario of 2-4%. Uptrend could resume after this likely minor correction


DAX/GER40 cfd Thursday 14the December buyers opened the Index much higher but couldn’t keep it up when sellers took control selling throughout the session forming a Bearish Engulfing candle (not the best textbook example though and could look like a Belt hold Marabozu which is also a top and reversal pattern) but with a close below minor support at 16,760 strong indications of a top and reversal was in place.

Monday morning buyers are trying to lift the Index back above 16,760 but are likely to be failing currently trading below the lower rising trendline.
A correction seems likely to be unfolding. A correction that potentially could take DAX down to the 03.82 retracement at round 16,096.

RSI has been in extreme overbought territory above 80 not seen in decades

Support around 16,528-16,469.

There is no divergence on RSI despite the extreme values indicating DAX could resume its uptrend after a minor correction.
If DAX is closing above 17,003 it will demolish the correction scenario and the uptrend is resuming with potential to 17,254.

Source all charts and data: Saxo Group

EuroStoxx50/EU50 cfd A couple of days with indecisive trading where buyers and sellers have been fighting it out the Index has formed a couple of Doji candles – open and closing price with in few cents of each other.
That could be a sign of a top and reversal. If we see a day with a bearish candle without the peak at 4,593 is taken out a correction is likely to be unfolding
The divergence on the RSI is indicating an exhaustion of the bullish trend adding to the top and reversal scenario being played out.

A close below minor support at 4,523 and below the lower rising trendline could fuel a sell-off down to around 4,384-4,363

A close above 4,593 and the uptrend will resume with a likely to 4,684

Disclaimer

Saxo Capital Markets (Australia) Limited prepares and distributes information/research produced within the Saxo Bank Group for informational purposes only. In addition to the disclaimer below, if any general advice is provided, such advice does not take into account your individual objectives, financial situation or needs. You should consider the appropriateness of trading any financial instrument as trading can result in losses that exceed your initial investment. Please refer to our Analysis Disclaimer, and our Financial Services Guide and Product Disclosure Statement. All legal documentation and disclaimers can be found at https://www.home.saxo/en-au/legal/.

The Saxo Bank Group entities each provide execution-only service. Access and use of Saxo News & Research and any Saxo Bank Group website are subject to (i) the Terms of Use; (ii) the full Disclaimer; and (iii) the Risk Warning in addition (where relevant) to the terms governing the use of the website of a member of the Saxo Bank Group.

Saxo News & Research is provided for informational purposes, does not contain (and should not be construed as containing) financial, investment, tax or trading advice or advice of any sort offered, recommended or endorsed by Saxo Bank Group and should not be construed as a record of our trading prices, or as an offer, incentive or solicitation for the subscription, sale or purchase in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. All trading or investments you make must be pursuant to your own unprompted and informed self-directed decision. No Saxo Bank Group entity shall be liable for any losses that you may sustain as a result of any investment decision made in reliance on information on Saxo News & Research.

To the extent that any content is construed as investment research, such content was not intended to and has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such, would be considered as a marketing communication.

None of the information contained here constitutes an offer to purchase or sell a financial instrument, or to make any investments.Saxo Capital Markets does not take into account your personal investment objectives or financial situation and makes no representation and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information nor for any loss arising from any investment made in reliance of this presentation. Any opinions made are subject to change and may be personal to the author. These may not necessarily reflect the opinion of Saxo Capital Markets or its affiliates.

Please read our disclaimers:
- Full Disclaimer (https://www.home.saxo/en-au/legal/disclaimer/saxo-disclaimer)
- Analysis Disclaimer (https://www.home.saxo/en-au/legal/analysis-disclaimer/saxo-analysis-disclaimer)
- Notification on Non-Independent Investment Research (https://www.home.saxo/legal/niird/notification)

Saxo Capital Markets (Australia) Limited
Suite 1, Level 14, 9 Castlereagh St
Sydney NSW 2000
Australia

Contact Saxo

Select region

Australia
Australia

The Saxo trading platform has received numerous awards and recognition. For details of these awards and information on awards visit www.home.saxo/en-au/about-us/awards

Saxo Capital Markets (Australia) Limited ABN 32 110 128 286 AFSL 280372 (‘Saxo’ or ‘Saxo Capital Markets’) is a wholly owned subsidiary of Saxo Bank A/S, headquartered in Denmark. Please refer to our General Business Terms, Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement and Target Market Determination to consider whether acquiring or continuing to hold financial products is suitable for you, prior to opening an account and investing in a financial product.

Trading in financial instruments carries various risks, and is not suitable for all investors. Please seek expert advice, and always ensure that you fully understand these risks before trading. Saxo Capital Markets does not provide ‘personal’ financial product advice, any information available on this website is ‘general’ in nature and for informational purposes only. Saxo Capital Markets does not take into account an individual’s needs, objectives or financial situation. The Target Market Determination should assist you in determining whether any of the products or services we offer are likely to be consistent with your objectives, financial situation and needs.

Apple, iPad and iPhone are trademarks of Apple Inc., registered in the US and other countries. AppStore is a service mark of Apple Inc.

The information or the products and services referred to on this website may be accessed worldwide, however is only intended for distribution to and use by recipients located in countries where such use does not constitute a violation of applicable legislation or regulations. Products and Services offered on this website is not intended for residents of the United States and Japan.

Please click here to view our full disclaimer.