Timing the market is hard, picking a smart time to invest is easy!
Buying at the bottom of the market and getting the best price for a stock is hard, picking the top and selling for the highest profit is equally as hard; doing both on a regular and long-term basis is next to impossible. If you could do this you would already be a billionaire trader!
Investing today with a long term outlook opens up the opportunity to buy high quality assets at lower than expected prices. It is like buying that jumper you really wanted but on sale!
Take Apple for example, the most valuable company in the world (by market capitalisation). Everyone would agree that Apple is a high quality company and will be around for many years to come playing an integral part of many of our daily lives.
If you could buy Apple stock (AAPL) at a 5% discount would that be deal? Well that is where the price is relative to last week.
Or if you could buy AAPL stock at a 10% discount would that be a good deal? Well that is where the price is relative to 1 month ago.
The same goes for Telsa. TSLA is trading at a 10% discount to its price 1 month ago and nearly an 18% discount to its price just 3 months ago.
These are just two examples of very high quality companies that many investors already hold in their portfolios are that are ‘on sale’ at the moment.
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Outrageous Predictions 2023: The War Economy
- The constantly growing global need for energy drives the world's richest to huddle up and launch a R&D project in a size the world hasn't seen since the Manhattan Project gave the US the first atomic bomb.
French President Macron resignsThe political stalemate in France and the rise of Marie Le Pen following the 2022 elections corners President Macron, forcing him to give up on politics and resign from his position. At least for now.
Gold rockets to USD 3,000 as central banks fail on inflation mandateAs markets and central banks realise that the idea that inflation is transitory is wrong, and that prices will remain higher for longer, gold is sent through the roof, hitting a price tag of USD 3,000
EU Army forces EU down path to full unionWith continued challenges in the region and a US military that isn't aggressively enacting its former role as global policeman, the European Union agrees to create its own armed forces, bringing the whole region closer.
A country agrees to ban all meat production by 2030In an effort to become one of the global leaders on the path to net-zero emissions, one country decides to not only put a heavy tax on meat, but to ban domestic production entirely.
UK holds UnBrexit referendumFollowing a recession and domestic pressure, the United Kingdom is thrown into political turmoil that will end with a vote to wind back Brexit.
Widespread price controls are introduced to cap official inflationHistory tells us that with the war economy comes rationing and price controls. And this time is no different, as policymakers introduce strict price controls that lead to a range of unintended consequences.
OPEC+ & Chindia walk out of the IMF, agree to trade with new reserve assetSanctions against Russia have caused widespread turmoil due to US Dollar moves in countries across the globe that don't consider the US an ally. To relieve themselves from this, they leave the IMF and create a new reserve asset.
USDJPY fixed to the USD at 200 as Japan overhauls financial systemFollowing the challenges that faced the Japanese Yen in 2022, the Bank of Japan attempts to keep the currency from sliding. Unsuccessful on the long-term, Japan will launch a reset of its entire financial system.
Tax haven ban kills private equityWith the war economy comes an increased focus on national interests and sovereign nations' ability to assert themselves. In that regard, the OECD countries turn their attention on tax havens and pull the big guns out, banning them altogether.