Podcast: The tug of war between interest rates and growth
Saxo Market Call
Summary: Today's session is expected to be quiet with a holiday closing cash markets in the US. This week will likely become a tug of war between earnings releases and higher interest rates as equities try to digest the fast changing landscape for equities. Real yields have moved sharply higher recently suggesting the market is believing that the Fed can cool down demand and inflationary pressures by raising interest rates. For gold bulls it should be encouraging to watch how gold prices are holding up despite rising US real yields. In commodities things are not cooling down with oil prices surging higher with Brent crude at the cusp of breaking above the previous high from October last year. We also discuss copper which looked strong last week but gave up some of the gains again due to weakening macro data from China. Today's pod features Peter Garnry on equities and Ole S. Hansen on commodities.
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Quarterly Outlook Q2 2022
Quarterly Outlook Q2 2022: The End Game has arrived
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Productivity and innovation have never been more importantAs the world economy hits physical limits and central banks tighten their belts, could equities be facing a 10-15% downside?
The great EUR recovery and the difficulty of trading itIf the terrible fog of war hopefully lifts soon, the conditions are promising for the euro to reprice significantly higher.
Tight commodity markets – turbocharged by war and sanctionsWith supply already tight, commodities keep powering on. But will it last for yet another quarter?
Between a rock and a hard placeGeopolitical concerns will add upward price pressures and fears of slower growth, while volatility will remain elevated.
The Great ErosionInflation is everywhere and central banks try to combat it. But will they get it under control in time?
Australian investing: Six considerations amid triple Rs: rising rates, record inflation and likely recessionWhile global financial markets are struggling in an uncertain world, the commodity-heavy Australian ASX index is poised to keep a positive momentum.
Cybersecurity – the rush to catch up with realityWith the invasion of Ukraine, governments and private companies are rushing to reinforce their cyber defenses.