Quarterly Outlook
Equity outlook: The high cost of global fragmentation for US portfolios
Charu Chanana
Chief Investment Strategist
Investment and Options Strategist
This is episode 7 in our ETF series. If you missed it, read episode 6: ETF strategies for beginners: building a diversified portfolio
Albert Einstein reportedly called compound interest "the eighth wonder of the world." When it comes to building wealth through ETF investing, this principle becomes your most powerful ally. Let's explore how compounding works and why ETFs are particularly well-suited to harness its wealth-building potential.Real-world example:
Consider two Saxo Bank clients who each invest €10,000 in a global equity ETF with an average annual return of 8%:
After 30 years:
The dramatic difference comes from compounding—Client B's returns earned their own returns year after year.
ETFs offer several features that make them particularly effective vehicles for compounding:
Many ETFs offer accumulating share classes that automatically reinvest dividends, eliminating the temptation to spend these distributions and ensuring every euro works toward building your wealth.
Real-world example:
A €10,000 investment in an accumulating S&P 500 ETF over the past 30 years would have grown substantially more than the same investment in a distributing version where dividends weren't reinvested—even if you never spent those dividends but kept them in cash.
The lower the fees, the more of your returns remain invested to compound over time. ETFs' typically low expense ratios mean more of your money stays working for you.
Real-world example:
Two identical €10,000 investments earning 8% annually but with different expense ratios:
The seemingly small 0.9% difference in annual fees results in a €21,000 difference in ending wealth—over twice the original investment amount!
ETFs' structure often results in fewer taxable events than actively managed funds, allowing more of your gains to remain invested and compound over time.
Real-world example:
An investor in a high tax bracket might lose 25-40% of distributed capital gains to taxes each year. ETFs typically distribute fewer capital gains, allowing more money to remain invested and compound.
The true power of compounding emerges over longer time periods, making ETFs ideal for patient, long-term investors.
Real-world example:
Consider a monthly €300 investment in a global equity ETF earning an average 7% annual return:
Notice how the growth accelerates dramatically in later years—this is compounding in action. In the first decade, your contributions make up most of your portfolio value. By the third decade, your investment gains are doing most of the heavy lifting.
Practical steps to maximize compounding with ETFs
For Saxo Bank clients focused on long-term wealth building, understanding and harnessing the power of compounding through ETF investing is perhaps the single most important financial concept to master.
Next up: in episode 8, we’ll explore how to build "Income generation with ETFs: from growth to cash flow"
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