Quick Take Asia

Asia Market Quick Take – 23 April, 2026

Macro 6 minutes to read
Saxo Be Invested
APAC Research

Asia Market Quick Take – 23 April, 2026

Key points:

  • Macro: Iran restricts SoH and US continues blockade of Iran ships
  • Equities: SP500 trades to new high and Tesla beats earnings
  • FX: Norwegian krone rallied, leading G-10 
  • Commodities: Brent futures settled above $101, +3.5%, a two-week high
  • Fixed income: Yields are higher and long end muted after solid $13bn 20Y reopening

------------------------------------------------------------------

qt 2304

Disclaimer: Past performance does not indicate future performance.

Macro:

  • Tehran continues to control the Straits of Hormuz, restricting most international traffic and reportedly firing on commercial ships, while the US maintains a blockade of Iranian ports that Tehran calls a ceasefire violation. Trump said the truce will remain in place indefinitely as Washington awaits a revised peace proposal, but Iran has signaled it does not plan to hold talks soon.
  • South Korea’s GDP grew 1.7% QoQ in Q1 2026, rebounding from a 0.2% contraction and beating the 1.0% forecast, the strongest since Q1 2021. Growth was driven by a 5.1% rise in exports (especially semiconductors), solid investment, and modest consumption gains. Annually, GDP rose 3.6%, up from 1.6% and above the 2.7% forecast, the fastest since Q4 2021.
  • Australia’s S&P Global Manufacturing PMI rose to 51.0 in April 2026 from 49.8, signaling a return to expansion. Output fell more slowly, while new orders, jobs, and inventories slipped modestly amid weak demand. Middle East–related disruptions lengthened delivery times the most since mid-2022, and higher fuel and freight costs drove the fastest input inflation in nearly four years.
  • US crude inventories rose 1.93 million barrels to 465.7 million in the week to April 17, against expectations for a 1.2 million draw, with Cushing stocks up 806,000. Refinery runs and utilization edged lower, while gasoline and distillate stocks posted largerthanexpected draws. Net crude imports increased by 1.21 million bpd.
  • Euro Area consumer confidence fell 4.3 points to -20.6 in April 2026, the lowest since December 2022, amid economic uncertainty and higher energy costs. In the wider EU, sentiment dropped 4.2 points to -19.4, with confidence in both regions still well below long-term averages.

Equities:

  • US: S&P 500 climbed 1.0% to a fresh all-time high of 7,137.90 on Wednesday, placing the index on track for its best month since 2020, as strong corporate results and the ceasefire extension revived risk appetites after a two-day retreat. Nasdaq 100 jumped 1.7% to also set a closing peak, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average climbed 0.7%. Chipmakers climbed for a 16th straight day, the longest-ever winning streak. Boeing surged on solid first-quarter deliveries. In after-hours trading, Tesla jumped as earnings beat estimates, reporting profits of $477 million, up 17% from the year-ago period, while revenues jumped 16% to $22.4 billion. Intel shares gained 3% after Tesla CEO Musk stated plans to use Intel's 14A process. IBM and CSX also moved higher in late trading.
  • EU: The Stoxx Europe 600 Index fell for the third day, dropping 0.3% to 613.88, the lowest closing level since April 9. Deutsche Telekom contributed the most to the index decline, decreasing 4.8% after Bloomberg News reported it's discussing a potential merger with its T-Mobile US arm. Bureau Veritas had the largest drop, falling 10.6%. The DAX fell 0.3% to 24,194.90 in Frankfurt, while the FTSE 100 dropped 0.2% to 10,476.46 in London. Technology stocks rose against the broader market decline, with ASML rallying after giving a strong forecast. An investor frenzy for photonics companies producing optical components essential to AI datacenters continued, with Germany's LPKF Laser & Electronics rising 14% and up 200% since the start of the year.
  • Asia: Asian equity futures were primed for advances Thursday after robust US corporate results lifted Wall Street to a record. Equity-index futures for Japan, Hong Kong and South Korea all climbed. On Wednesday, Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index fell 1.2% to 26,163.24, while the Hang Seng Tech Index dropped around 2% to 4,963, dragged lower by major Chinese tech firms including Alibaba and JD.com on concerns over near-term profitability due to regulatory pressure. Australia's S&P/ASX 200 Index fell 1.2% to 8,843.60 at close. The Kospi Index in Seoul rose 0.5% to 6,417.93, with HD Hyundai Heavy Industries contributing the most to the index gain. SK Hynix reported a five-fold jump in quarterly profit to a record 40.3 trillion won, underscoring surging prices of AI memory chips. Nikkei futures were flat at 59,755 on the SGX as investors monitored developments in the Middle East.

Earnings this week:

  • Thursday - Lockheed Martin, American Express, Intel
  • Friday - Procter & Gamble 
  • Sunday - Verizon

FX:

  • The Norwegian krone rallied, outperforming all Group-of-10 peers against the greenback.
  • USDJPY slipped less than 0.1% to 159.27, inching closer to 160 per dollar as oil prices rose, with the yen gaining as much as 0.2% to 159.11 per dollar earlier in the session.
  • GBPUSD fell 0.1% to 1.3498, with the pound sterling climbing against the euro as rate hike bets held firm.
  •  Morgan Stanley analysts see EURUSD longs with an approximately 6- to 9-month horizon looking attractive with a target between 1.20 and 1.25.
  • AUDUSD remains choppy and upside beyond the 17 April high looks limited with stochastics still overbought.
  • NZDUSD is consolidating after a bullish break above resistance from a downtrend from the 12 February high.

Commodities:

  • Brent crude futures settled above $101 a barrel, gaining 3.5% to $101.91, the highest in two weeks, amid conflicting reports about plans to reschedule peace talks between the US and Iran which have ultimately failed to materialize. WTI futures settled up 0.9% at $92.96.
  • Comex silver settled 1.9% higher at $77.893 per troy ounce, snapping a two-session losing streak.
  •  Exchange-traded funds added 10,007 troy ounces of gold to their holdings in the last trading session, marking the sixth straight day of growth, the longest winning streak since January 28.

Fixed income:

  • Treasury futures edged lower into the $13 billion 20-year bond auction, before losses faded in late session to leave yields marginally cheaper on the day across the curve. The 20-year bond was awarded at 4.883% versus the WI yield trading around 4.892% at the bidding deadline, a solid auction result.
  •  The 10-year Treasury yield remained unchanged at 4.293%, while the 30-year yield was little changed at 4.901%.
  • Treasury yields bounced back from early declines and settled roughly unchanged as Iran fired on three ships and President Trump extended the ceasefire but kept the US blockade of Iranian ports.

For a global look at markets – go to Inspiration.

This content is marketing content and should not be considered investment advice. Trading financial instruments carries risks and historic performance is not a guarantee for future performance. The instrument(s) mentioned in this content may be issued by a partner, from which Saxo receives promotion, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo receives compensation from these partnerships, all content is conducted with the intention of providing clients with valuable options and information.

 

Quarterly Outlook

01 /

  • Q1 Outlook for Traders: Five Big Questions and Three Grey Swans.

    Quarterly Outlook

    Q1 Outlook for Traders: Five Big Questions and Three Grey Swans.

    John J. Hardy

    Global Head of Macro Strategy

    Strap yourself in for key market questions that must be answered in 2026.
  • Q1 Outlook for Investors: “AI” party hangover needs discipline and diversification

    Quarterly Outlook

    Q1 Outlook for Investors: “AI” party hangover needs discipline and diversification

    Charu Chanana

    Chief Investment Strategist

    2026 is a high-valuation, high-dispersion year: the AI story matures, policy becomes less predictabl...
  • Q4 Outlook for Investors: Diversify like it’s 2025 – don’t fall for déjà vu

    Quarterly Outlook

    Q4 Outlook for Investors: Diversify like it’s 2025 – don’t fall for déjà vu

    Jacob Falkencrone

    Global Head of Investment Strategy

  • Q4 Outlook for Traders: The Fed is back in easing mode. Is this time different?

    Quarterly Outlook

    Q4 Outlook for Traders: The Fed is back in easing mode. Is this time different?

    John J. Hardy

    Global Head of Macro Strategy

    The Fed launched a new easing cycle in late Q3. Will this cycle now play out like 2000 or 2007?
  • Q3 Investor Outlook: Beyond American shores – why diversification is your strongest ally

    Quarterly Outlook

    Q3 Investor Outlook: Beyond American shores – why diversification is your strongest ally

    Jacob Falkencrone

    Global Head of Investment Strategy

  • Q3 Macro Outlook: Less chaos, and hopefully a bit more clarity

    Quarterly Outlook

    Q3 Macro Outlook: Less chaos, and hopefully a bit more clarity

    John J. Hardy

    Global Head of Macro Strategy

    After the chaos of Q2, the quarter ahead should get a bit more clarity on how Trump 2.0 is impacting...
  • Equity outlook: The high cost of global fragmentation for US portfolios

    Quarterly Outlook

    Equity outlook: The high cost of global fragmentation for US portfolios

    Charu Chanana

    Chief Investment Strategist

  • Commodity Outlook: Commodities rally despite global uncertainty

    Quarterly Outlook

    Commodity Outlook: Commodities rally despite global uncertainty

    Ole Hansen

    Head of Commodity Strategy

  • Upending the global order at blinding speed

    Quarterly Outlook

    Upending the global order at blinding speed

    John J. Hardy

    Global Head of Macro Strategy

    We are witnessing a once-in-a-lifetime shredding of the global order. As the new order takes shape, ...
  • Asset allocation outlook: From Magnificent 7 to Magnificent 2,645—diversification matters, now more than ever

    Quarterly Outlook

    Asset allocation outlook: From Magnificent 7 to Magnificent 2,645—diversification matters, now more than ever

    Jacob Falkencrone

    Global Head of Investment Strategy

Disclaimer

The Saxo Group entities each provide execution-only service and access to Analysis permitting a person to view and/or use content available on or via the website is not intended to and does not change or expand on this. Such access and use are at all times subject to (i) The Terms of Use; (ii) Full Disclaimer; (iii) The Risk Warning; (iv) the Rules of Engagement and (v) Notices applying to Saxo News & Research and/or its content in addition (where relevant) to the terms governing the use of hyperlinks on the website of a member of the Saxo Group by which access to Saxo News & Research is gained. Such content is therefore provided as no more than information. In particular no advice is intended to be provided or to be relied on as provided nor endorsed by any Saxo Group entity; nor is it to be construed as solicitation or an incentive provided to subscribe for or sell or purchase any financial instrument. All trading or investments you make must be pursuant to your own unprompted and informed self-directed decision. As such no Saxo Group entity will have or be liable for any losses that you may sustain as a result of any investment decision made in reliance on information which is available on Saxo News & Research or as a result of the use of the Saxo News & Research. Orders given and trades effected are deemed intended to be given or effected for the account of the customer with the Saxo Group entity operating in the jurisdiction in which the customer resides and/or with whom the customer opened and maintains his/her trading account. Saxo News & Research does not contain (and should not be construed as containing) financial, investment, tax or trading advice or advice of any sort offered, recommended or endorsed by Saxo Group and should not be construed as a record of our trading prices, or as an offer, incentive or solicitation for the subscription, sale or purchase in any financial instrument. To the extent that any content is construed as investment research, you must note and accept that the content was not intended to and has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such, would be considered as a marketing communication under relevant laws.

Please read our disclaimers:
- Notification on Non-Independent Investment Research (https://www.home.saxo/legal/niird/notification)
- Full disclaimer (https://www.home.saxo/en-hk/legal/disclaimer/saxo-disclaimer)

None of the information contained here constitutes an offer to purchase or sell a financial instrument, or to make any investments. Saxo does not take into account your personal investment objectives or financial situation and makes no representation and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information nor for any loss arising from any investment made in reliance of this presentation. Any opinions made are subject to change and may be personal to the author. These may not necessarily reflect the opinion of Saxo or its affiliates.


Hong Kong

Contact Saxo

Hong Kong S.A.R
Hong Kong S.A.R

Saxo Capital Markets HK Limited (“Saxo”) is a company authorised and regulated by the Securities and Futures Commission of Hong Kong. Saxo holds a Type 1 Regulated Activity (Dealing in Securities); Type 2 Regulated Activity (Dealing in Futures Contract); Type 3 Regulated Activity (Leveraged Foreign Exchange Trading); Type 4 Regulated Activity (Advising on Securities) and Type 9 Regulated Activity (Asset Management) licenses (CE No. AVD061). Registered address: 19th Floor, Shanghai Commercial Bank Tower, 12 Queen’s Road Central, Hong Kong.

Trading in financial instruments carries various risks, and is not suitable for all investors. Please seek expert advice, and always ensure that you fully understand these risks before trading. Trading in leveraged products may result in your losses exceeding your initial deposits. Saxo does not provide financial advice, any information available on this website is ‘general’ in nature and for informational purposes only. Saxo does not take into account an individual’s needs, objectives or financial situation. Please click here to view the relevant risk disclosure statements.

The Saxo trading platform has received numerous awards and recognition. For details of these awards and information on awards visit www.home.saxo/en-hk/about-us/awards.

The information or the products and services referred to on this site may be accessed worldwide, however is only intended for distribution to and use by recipients located in countries where such use does not constitute a violation of applicable legislation or regulations. Products and services offered on this website are not directed at, or intended for distribution to or use by, any person or entity residing in the United States and Japan. Please click here to view our full disclaimer.

Apple, iPad and iPhone are trademarks of Apple Inc., registered in the US and other countries. AppStore is a service mark of Apple Inc. Android is a trademark of Google Inc.