Quarterly Outlook
Q1 Outlook for Traders: Five Big Questions and Three Grey Swans.
John J. Hardy
Global Head of Macro Strategy
For many investors, investing often starts with a single product type. We tend to invest in things we already know, and for many people, that will be stocks. That’s a natural place to begin. But over time, market ups and downs can highlight an important question: What happens when everything you own moves in the same direction at the same time?
One way investors try to manage this challenge is by spreading risk across multiple asset types. This concept is often referred to as multi-asset or multi-product investing. Recent data from Saxo’s own client base offers useful insight into how this approach has played out in practice.
You have most likely already heard about diversification and the importance of a diversified portfolio, so let’s compare the performance of single-asset vs. multi-asset portfolios. Looking at five years of data from Saxo’s clients, a clear pattern emerges:
Clients who invested across multiple product types tended, on average, to experience more stable and often stronger outcomes than those who focused on a single product type.
Performance is measured as profit or loss over the year relative to the investor’s average total assets, providing a consistent basis for comparison.
The differences become particularly visible during challenging market periods. In 2022, markets were difficult across the globe. Saxo’s data shows that:
This highlights an important point for less experienced investors:
when markets fall sharply, having exposure to more than one type of asset can help reduce the impact of extreme movements.
In more positive market years, the data shows that multi-asset investors did not “miss out” on recovery phases.
For investors who are not monitoring markets every day or adjusting positions frequently, diversification can play an important role in risk management rather than return maximisation.
Based on Saxo’s client data, spreading investments across different product types may help:
This can be especially relevant for retail investors with limited market experience, where sharp losses may lead to emotional decision-making at the wrong time.
It’s important to be clear about what this data does not imply.
What the data does show is that, historically, Saxo clients who spread their investments across multiple product types tended to experience more resilient outcomes over time, compared to those concentrated in a single product.
Saxo’s client data over the past five years suggests that:
For retail investors, understanding how different assets behave — and why spreading risk can matter — is a key step toward building confidence in navigating financial markets.