Macro Monday (week 8): Low volatility, golden central banks
Saxo Head of APAC Macro Strategy Kay Van-Petersen looks at key issues including central bank policy, the US' border security emergency, and ongoing low volatility.
Head of Commodity Strategy
To download your copy of the Commitment of Traders: Forex report for the week ending June 12, click here.
To download your copy of the Commitment of Traders: Financials report for the week ending June 12, click here.
The speculative dollar short against nine IMM currency futures increased by 29% in the week to June 12. This before its explosive move higher last Thursday following the European Central Bank meeting..
The net dollar selling was broad-based with the exception of EUR and not least MXN where bearish bets doubled as uncertainty about NAFTA weighed. Despite trading weaker, traders still bought JPY which took the net-long to a seven-month high.
In fixed income the overall short duration of bonds held by leveraged funds were reduced for a fourth week. The CFTC reporting period up until last Tuesday captured the sharp short covering rally on June 7 in US 10s while curve flattening trades continued to be in demand ahead of last week’s Federal Open Market Committee rate hike.