Technical Update - Nordea Bank ready to break out of triangle pattern. Which way is it going to be?
Kim Cramer Larsson
Technical Analyst, Saxo Bank
Nordea Bank (DKK) is forming a symmetrical triangle like pattern on the medium-term time horizon, tugged in between the 55 and the 200 weekly Simple Moving Averages (SMA)
Break out direction will be a strong indication of the medium-term trend. If breaking out bearish Nordea could decline to support around DKK 52.30 but there could be downside to around 46-45. Support at 58.46
If breaking out bullish Nordea is likely to test Q1 2022 peak at 85.11
Currently RSI is showing negative sentiment and if RSI closes below its lower rising trendline lower price levels should be expected.
However, RSI is currently rising and if it closes above 60 it is back in positive sentiment with higher levels in the cards.
Short-term Nordea is in a downtrend being rejected at the 200 daily SMA several times. A close above the falling trendline, and the 200 daily SMA followed by a daily close above 72.95 will confirm a trend reversal and Nordea to build an uptrend towards 85
RSI is at the time of writing above 60 and if it closes above there is strong indication the bullish scenario to play out
Latest Market Insights
Outrageous Predictions 2023: The War Economy
- The constantly growing global need for energy drives the world's richest to huddle up and launch a R&D project in a size the world hasn't seen since the Manhattan Project gave the US the first atomic bomb.
French President Macron resignsThe political stalemate in France and the rise of Marie Le Pen following the 2022 elections corners President Macron, forcing him to give up on politics and resign from his position. At least for now.
Gold rockets to USD 3,000 as central banks fail on inflation mandateAs markets and central banks realise that the idea that inflation is transitory is wrong, and that prices will remain higher for longer, gold is sent through the roof, hitting a price tag of USD 3,000
EU Army forces EU down path to full unionWith continued challenges in the region and a US military that isn't aggressively enacting its former role as global policeman, the European Union agrees to create its own armed forces, bringing the whole region closer.
A country agrees to ban all meat production by 2030In an effort to become one of the global leaders on the path to net-zero emissions, one country decides to not only put a heavy tax on meat, but to ban domestic production entirely.
UK holds UnBrexit referendumFollowing a recession and domestic pressure, the United Kingdom is thrown into political turmoil that will end with a vote to wind back Brexit.
Widespread price controls are introduced to cap official inflationHistory tells us that with the war economy comes rationing and price controls. And this time is no different, as policymakers introduce strict price controls that lead to a range of unintended consequences.
OPEC+ & Chindia walk out of the IMF, agree to trade with new reserve assetSanctions against Russia have caused widespread turmoil due to US Dollar moves in countries across the globe that don't consider the US an ally. To relieve themselves from this, they leave the IMF and create a new reserve asset.
USDJPY fixed to the USD at 200 as Japan overhauls financial systemFollowing the challenges that faced the Japanese Yen in 2022, the Bank of Japan attempts to keep the currency from sliding. Unsuccessful on the long-term, Japan will launch a reset of its entire financial system.
Tax haven ban kills private equityWith the war economy comes an increased focus on national interests and sovereign nations' ability to assert themselves. In that regard, the OECD countries turn their attention on tax havens and pull the big guns out, banning them altogether.