background image background image background image

Technical Update - Free falling Hang Seng and China A50 could drop much lower

Equity 3 minutes to read
KCL
Kim Cramer Larsson

Technical Analyst, Saxo Bank

Hang Seng Index (HSI) is dropping like a stone. There is no strong support before around 11,345. Minor support at 13,465. As previously described Hang Seng seems to be unwinding a long-term Shoulder-Head- Shoulder formation with a potential target of 8,500.
RSI is supporting the strong bearish outlook on both short-, medium- and longer-term.


HSI m 31oct
Source: Saxo Group
Weekly chart shows how the selling pressure has accelerated pushing the Index out of the falling channel. The lower black line on weekly chart is shifted parallel from the channel. HSI might find some support around that line and the 2.00 projection of the Q2-Q3 correction at around 13,947. 


HSI w 31oct
Source: Saxo Group
Short-term there is no divergence on RSI indicating lower levels.
If buyers come back in lifting the Index above the upper falling trend on RSI HIS could experience a rebound to around 16K where sellers are likely to regain control. But the likelihood of such a scenario to play out seems slim.
HSI d 31oct
Source: Saxo Group

FTSE China A50 future (A50) has broken below key strong support at 11,498. No strong support until around 10,160 which is also around the 1.764 projection of the Q2-Q3 correction. A50 is likely to test the lower trendline in the falling channel.
No divergence on RSI weekly supporting the picture of lower levels on A50.
 

A50 7 w 31oct
Source: Saxo Group

Disclaimer

The Saxo Bank Group entities each provide execution-only service and access to Analysis permitting a person to view and/or use content available on or via the website. This content is not intended to and does not change or expand on the execution-only service. Such access and use are at all times subject to (i) The Terms of Use; (ii) Full Disclaimer; (iii) The Risk Warning; (iv) the Rules of Engagement and (v) Notices applying to Saxo News & Research and/or its content in addition (where relevant) to the terms governing the use of hyperlinks on the website of a member of the Saxo Bank Group by which access to Saxo News & Research is gained. Such content is therefore provided as no more than information. In particular no advice is intended to be provided or to be relied on as provided nor endorsed by any Saxo Bank Group entity; nor is it to be construed as solicitation or an incentive provided to subscribe for or sell or purchase any financial instrument. All trading or investments you make must be pursuant to your own unprompted and informed self-directed decision. As such no Saxo Bank Group entity will have or be liable for any losses that you may sustain as a result of any investment decision made in reliance on information which is available on Saxo News & Research or as a result of the use of the Saxo News & Research. Orders given and trades effected are deemed intended to be given or effected for the account of the customer with the Saxo Bank Group entity operating in the jurisdiction in which the customer resides and/or with whom the customer opened and maintains his/her trading account. Saxo News & Research does not contain (and should not be construed as containing) financial, investment, tax or trading advice or advice of any sort offered, recommended or endorsed by Saxo Bank Group and should not be construed as a record of our trading prices, or as an offer, incentive or solicitation for the subscription, sale or purchase in any financial instrument. To the extent that any content is construed as investment research, you must note and accept that the content was not intended to and has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such, would be considered as a marketing communication under relevant laws.

Please read our disclaimers:
Notification on Non-Independent Investment Research (https://www.home.saxo/legal/niird/notification)
Full disclaimer (https://www.home.saxo/legal/disclaimer/saxo-disclaimer)
Full disclaimer (https://www.home.saxo/legal/saxoselect-disclaimer/disclaimer)

Saxo Bank A/S (Headquarters)
Philip Heymans Alle 15
2900
Hellerup
Denmark

Contact Saxo

Select region

International
International

Trade responsibly
All trading carries risk. Read more. To help you understand the risks involved we have put together a series of Key Information Documents (KIDs) highlighting the risks and rewards related to each product. Read more

This website can be accessed worldwide however the information on the website is related to Saxo Bank A/S and is not specific to any entity of Saxo Bank Group. All clients will directly engage with Saxo Bank A/S and all client agreements will be entered into with Saxo Bank A/S and thus governed by Danish Law.

Apple and the Apple logo are trademarks of Apple Inc, registered in the US and other countries and regions. App Store is a service mark of Apple Inc. Google Play and the Google Play logo are trademarks of Google LLC.